Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #2
New Haven Regional Rank #1
Woodlan Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 24.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic Summit Athletic Conference New Haven Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 108 214 182 140 858 156 143 208 128 101 95
Team Adjusted Rating 157 182 113 108 120 120 167 101 95 95
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic Summit Athletic Conference New Haven Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Mallory Weller 11 17:38 17:59 19:09 18:13 17:56 17:36 17:42 17:31 17:55 17:31
Daphne Weller 9 18:24 19:21 19:12 18:31 18:28 18:27 18:54 18:33 18:17 18:17
44  Brylee Crass 10 19:10 18:57 19:20 19:17 19:02
63  Lilly Schlicker 11 19:22 19:41 19:23 19:43 19:17 19:32 19:27 20:12 19:12 19:11 19:18
66  Maddie Gentz 10 19:22 20:12 20:11 20:18 19:52 20:05 19:46 20:12 20:02 19:12 19:25
68  Hannah Clark 11 19:24 19:30 19:46 19:35 19:23 19:25 19:34 19:43 19:15 19:20 19:16
165  Ellie Walters 12 20:13 20:57 19:56 19:59 20:03 20:39 21:14 20:32 19:52 20:07 20:34
189  Riley Zent 9 20:22 20:43 20:29 20:16 20:09 20:25 20:13
219  Joelle Borchelt 11 20:32 21:48 20:47 20:39 21:04 20:39 20:15 20:16 20:24
404  Natalie Cordes 9 21:15 21:27 21:27 21:54 21:01 20:53 21:08 21:03
582  Leona Dumford 9 21:48 21:55 22:20 22:02 21:47 21:32 21:27 21:36
587  Cocoa Milleman 10 21:48 22:45 21:39 21:50 21:38 21:32 21:56 21:57
737  Sierra Luttik 12 22:10 21:38 21:50 22:19 22:08 22:07 22:12
Anna Clem 11 23:41 22:40 23:45 23:52 23:02 23:27 24:03
Helene Hendrickson 11 23:55 25:13 24:10 23:31 23:17 24:06 23:49
Naomi Hendrickson 10 23:57 23:44 24:24 24:25 23:40 23:51 24:41 23:39 23:28
Sera Shelton 9 24:17 21:55 24:48 24:57 24:20 24:04




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 2.1 121 24.8 53.0 15.3 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.2 42 83.2 16.8
Sectionals 100% 1.2 26 79.2 20.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mallory Weller 100% 1.9 15.3 40.5 21.1 11.2 6.1 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Daphne Weller 100% 11.6 0.6 1.9 2.8 5.2 7.1 7.3 8.2 7.2 6.4 5.5 5.6 5.1 4.4 4.2 3.8 2.9 2.5 2.7 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 100.0%
Brylee Crass 100% 48.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.7 100.0%
Lilly Schlicker 100% 66.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 99.5%
Maddie Gentz 100% 67.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.4%
Hannah Clark 100% 70.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.2%
Ellie Walters 100% 153.8 26.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mallory Weller 100% 1.0 97.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Daphne Weller 100% 2.5 0.0 34.2 28.8 22.3 8.2 3.3 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Brylee Crass 100% 10.6 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.1 6.1 7.2 7.5 9.2 9.1 8.6 7.7 7.5 6.1 5.7 4.3 3.2 3.1 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Lilly Schlicker 100% 15.4 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.1 2.8 3.7 5.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 7.2 6.9 6.4 6.0 6.7 5.9 5.1 4.1 4.9 3.3 3.1 2.2 100.0%
Maddie Gentz 100% 15.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 2.4 3.8 4.3 5.2 6.7 6.5 6.3 7.5 6.6 6.9 5.9 5.9 5.3 5.1 3.9 3.4 2.9 2.3 100.0%
Hannah Clark 100% 16.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.0 2.9 3.6 4.7 5.2 6.2 5.9 6.7 6.6 7.3 6.6 6.8 5.6 5.4 4.3 4.5 2.8 2.5 100.0%
Ellie Walters 100% 36.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mallory Weller 1.0 99.9 0.1
Daphne Weller 1.6 0.1 89.8 6.9 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
Brylee Crass 5.6 0.0 12.8 13.0 15.3 13.9 12.6 10.8 7.8 5.4 3.7 2.3 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Lilly Schlicker 8.4 2.1 4.1 6.3 9.2 10.7 12.3 12.0 11.7 10.1 8.0 5.8 4.4 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
Maddie Gentz 8.7 2.1 3.5 5.6 8.2 10.1 11.9 12.6 11.5 11.3 8.7 6.1 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.0
Hannah Clark 9.1 1.3 2.9 4.9 6.6 9.6 11.2 12.2 12.5 11.5 10.1 7.5 4.8 2.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
Ellie Walters 17.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 3.2 5.9 10.6 19.8 26.8 16.5 8.8 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1